<!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.01 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/html4/loose.dtd"> <html> <head> <title>February 2008 Enews: Vose Consulting - Risk analysis consultants</title> <div align="center">If you are having problems reading this message, please copy and paste the following link in the address bar of your preferred browser: <a href=http://www.voseconsulting.com/newsletter_feb08.htm>http://www.voseconsulting.com/newsletter_feb08.htm</a></div> <SCRIPT language=JavaScript src="http://www.voseconsulting.com/js/date.js"></SCRIPT> <SCRIPT language=JavaScript src="http://www.voseconsulting.com/js/dhtmllib.js"></SCRIPT> <SCRIPT language=JavaScript src="http://www.voseconsulting.com/js/navbarcode.js"></SCRIPT> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1"> <style type="text/css"> body { margin-left: 0px; margin-top: 0px; } .subhead { font-family: Georgia, "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 32px; color: #000066; } .body-txt { font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px; color: #666666; } .more_details { font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px; color: #000000; } .date-txt { font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 10px; color: #99CCFF; } .bodylinksConsultancy:link { font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; color: #336699; } .bodylinksConsultancy:visited { font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; color: #336699; } .bodylinksConsultancy:hover { font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: underline; color: #336699; } .bodylinksConsultancy:active { font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; color: #336699; } .toplinks:link { font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; color: #FFFFFF; } .toplinks:visited { font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; color: #FFFFFF; } .toplinks:hover { font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline; color: #FFFFFF; } .toplinks:active { font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; color: #FFFFFF; } .quote { font-family: "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; color: #666666; } .bottom-txt { font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 10px; color: #999999; } .bottomlinks:link { font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; color: #336699; } .bottomlinks:visited { font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; color: #336699; } .bottomlinks:hover { font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: underline; color: #336699; } .bottomlinks:active { font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; color: #336699; } </style> </head> <body background="http://www.voseconsulting.com/newsletter1004/bcg.gif"> <table width="700" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tr> <td valign="top" background="http://www.voseconsulting.com/graphics/newsletter/headcolour.gif"><div align="left"><a name="top"></a><img src="http://www.voseconsulting.com/graphics/newsletter/headlogo12.gif" width="700" height="68" align="top"></div> </td> </tr> <tr valign="middle" background="http://www.voseconsulting.com/graphics/navbar.gif"> <td width="760" height="11" colspan="2" background="http://www.voseconsulting.com/graphics/navbar.gif"> <div align="center"> <SCRIPT language=JavaScript src="http://www.voseconsulting.com/js/menu.js"></SCRIPT> <NOSCRIPT> <a href="http://www.voseconsulting.com/about_profile.htm" class="toplinks">About Vose Consulting</a> | <a href="http://www.voseconsulting.com/consultancy.htm" class="toplinks">Consultancy </a> | <a href="http://www.voseconsulting.com/software.htm" class="toplinks">Software</a> | <a href="http://www.voseconsulting.com/training.htm" class="toplinks">Training </a> | <a href="http://www.voseconsulting.com/publications_p.htm" class="toplinks">Publications</a> | <a href="http://www.voseconsulting.com/resources_signup.htm" class="toplinks">Resources</a> </NOSCRIPT> </div></td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#FFFFFF"> <td align="left"><table width="100%" border="1" cellpadding="10" cellspacing="7" bordercolor="#9999CC"> <tr class="body-txt"> <td bgcolor="#F5F7F8"><h3>Newsletter Content, Issue #12, February 2008</h3> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr class="body-txt"> <td width="7%" rowspan="9" align="left" valign="middle">&nbsp;</td> <td width="93%"><h5>Email content</h5></td> </tr> <tr> <td width="93%"><p><img src="http://www.voseconsulting.com/graphics/newsletter/bookmark.gif" width="8" height="9" align="absmiddle"> <a href="#event" class="bodylinksConsultancy"><strong><strong></strong></strong></a><a href="#news" class="bodylinksConsultancy"><strong>News</strong></a></p></td> </tr> <tr> <td><blockquote><br> <li> <a href="#n1" class="bodylinksConsultancy">To be released March 6, 2008, third version of  Risk Analysis: A quantitative guide , by David Vose.</a><br></li> <br> <li> <a href="#n2" class="bodylinksConsultancy">ModelRisk for Insurance and Finance to be released by the end of this season!</a><br></li> <br> <li> <a href="#n3" class="bodylinksConsultancy">Opportunities to Demo and Beta Test ModelRisk.</a><br></li> <br><li> <a href="#n4" class="bodylinksConsultancy">Do you want to work for Vose Consulting?</a><br></li> </blockquote></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p><img src="http://www.voseconsulting.com/graphics/newsletter/bookmark.gif" width="8" height="9" align="absmiddle"> <a href="http://www.voseconsulting.com/training_csch.htm" class="bodylinksConsultancy"><strong>Upcoming Risk Analysis Courses</strong></a> </p></td> </tr> <tr> <td><blockquote> <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" bgcolor="#F5F7F8"> <tr> <td align="left"><div style="margin-left:-25px " align="left"> <ul class="body-txt"> <li>March, 19 - 21, 2008<br> <a href="training_iqra.htm" class="bodylinksConsultancy"><strong>Quantitative Risk Analysis</strong></a><br> <em>Denver, CO, USA</em><br><br> </li> <li>April 2-4, 2008 <br> <a href="/ru/training_iqra.htm" class="bodylinksConsultancy"><strong>Quantitative Risk Analysis (Russian) </strong></a><br> <em>Moscow, Russia</em><br><br> </li> <li> 7-9 de Mayo, 2008<br> <a href="es/training_corpfin.htm" class="bodylinksConsultancy"><strong> Análisis de Riesgo en Finanzas Corporativas (Spanish)</strong><a><br> Santiago, Chile<br><br> </li> <li> June, 4 - 6, 2008<br> <a href="training_iqra.htm" class="bodylinksConsultancy"><strong>Quantitative Risk Analysis</strong><a><br> Denver, CO, USA<br><br> </li> <li> June, 23 - 27, 2008<br> <a href="training_qradme.htm" class="bodylinksConsultancy"><strong>Quantitative Risk Analysis and Disease Modelling in Epidemiology</strong><a><br> Fort Collins, CO, USA<br><br> </li> <li> September, 1  12, 2008<br> <a href="training_ahafsra.htm" class="bodylinksConsultancy"><strong>Animal Agriculture and Food Safety Risk Analysis</strong><a><br> Ghent, Belgium <br><br> </li> <li> October 6 - 8, 2008<br> <a href="training_iqra.htm" class="bodylinksConsultancy"><strong>Quantitative Risk Analysis</strong><a><br> Philadelphia, PA, USA<br><br> </li> <li> October, 7-10, 2008<br> <a href="training_aqraR.htm" class="bodylinksConsultancy"><strong>Quantitative Risk Analysis with R</strong><a><br> Fort Collins, CO, USA<br><br> </li> <li> 15-17 de Diciembre, 2008<br> <a href="es/training_aqra.htm" class="bodylinksConsultancy"><strong>Análisis de Riesgo Cuantitativo (Spanish)</strong><a><br> Buenos Aires, Argentina<br><br> </li> <li> <a href="training_custom.htm" class="bodylinksConsultancy"><i>Custom courses at your location</i><a><br> <br><br> </li> </ul> </div></td> </tr> </table> </blockquote></td> </tr> <tr> <td><img src="http://www.voseconsulting.com/graphics/newsletter/bookmark.gif" width="8" height="9" align="absmiddle"> <a href="#rp" class="bodylinksConsultancy"><strong>Recent Projects</strong></a></td> </tr> </table> </td> </tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#F5F7F8" class="body-txt"> <div align="justify"> <h5><a name="news"></a><strong><img src="http://www.voseconsulting.com/graphics/newsletter/bookmark.gif" width="17" height="18" align="absmiddle"> News</strong></h5> <h5 align="left"><a name="n1"></a><em><strong>Third version of the book "Risk Analysis: A quantitative guide"</strong></em></h5> The summer months in Europe are a good time to relax and enjoy the mild weather. Instead, David Vose spent a large amount of last summer on rewriting and expanding his popular book <i>"Risk Analysis: A Quantitative Guide"!</i><br><br> <i>"Risk analysis is a constantly evolving field, and the new (third) edition of the book explains in practical terms how to apply a great number of state-of-the-art techniques"</i>, says David Vose. Some of the new additions to this edition include modeling copulas, financial time series, optimization, and many other risk analysis techniques that we have applied in real consulting projects. This new edition also includes chapters and sections written by some of our other consultants.<br><br> The book is already available for pre-order from these websites: <ul> <li> <a href="http://www.wiley.com/WileyCDA/WileyTitle/productCd-0470512849.html" class="bodylinksConsultancy"> http://www.wiley.com/WileyCDA/WileyTitle/productCd-0470512849.html</a></li> <li><a href="http://www.amazon.com/Risk-Analysis-Quantitative-David-Vose/dp/0470512849/" class="bodylinksConsultancy">http://www.amazon.com/Risk-Analysis-Quantitative-David-Vose/dp/0470512849/</a></li> </ul> <br> <br> <p>The planned publishing date by the Wiley is May, 2008.</p> <p align="right"><a href="#top" class="bodylinksConsultancy">top</a></p> <h5 align="left"><a name="n2"></a><br> <em><strong>ModelRisk for Insurance and Finance to be released by the end of this season!</strong></em></h5> <p align="left">ModelRisk is a state of the art risk analysis tool specifically designed for the insurance and finance industries that allows the user to incorporate advanced actuarial and financial risk analysis techniques into Excel models. Copula fitting and simulation, distribution splicing, and stochastic time-series models are just a few of the many functions that are now easy to implement. <br> <br> The beta version of ModelRisk has already been used in a number of very diverse applications, from helping our Clients forecast weekly cash-flows, to dynamically fit non-parametric distributions, to use copulas to model various complex correlation patterns. Beyond its applications to our consulting work, reviews from our hundreds of beta-testers have been very positive (did we mention the  woah factor?). <br> <br> Please visit our <a href="software_mr_info.htm" class="bodylinksConsultancy">website</a> for more information on <i><strong>ModelRisk for Insurance and Finance</strong></i>. </p> <p align="right"><a href="#top" class="bodylinksConsultancy">top</a></p> <h5 align="left"><a name="n3"></a><br> <em><strong>Opportunities to Demo and Beta Test ModelRisk!!!</strong></em></h5> <p align="left">There are only a few more weeks left to become a beta tester for ModelRisk. Please feel free to download the current demo/beta version of ModelRisk from our <a href="modelrisk_demo_d.htm" class="bodylinksConsultancy">website</a>. If you are interested in providing feedback please also download the beta test report documents from <a href="modelrisk_bugs.htm" class="bodylinksConsultancy">website</a>here. </p> <p align="right"><a href="#top" class="bodylinksConsultancy">top</a></p> <h5 align="left"><a name="n5"></a><br> <em><strong>Do you want to work for Vose Consulting?</strong></em></h5> <p align="left">At Vose Consulting we are always looking for bright and enthusiastic minds to join our team. Given the high demand for our services, we currently have an opening for a Risk Analysis Consultant. The Risk Analysis Consultant will help clients use cutting-edge risk analysis and probabilistic techniques and methods to provide clients with decision support. We serve a broad array of clients in fields as diverse as sales forecasting, project costs estimation, financial analysis, credit and insurance modeling, epidemiology, health sciences, and inventory optimization. <br> Vose Consulting offers a challenging and rewarding opportunity in a very dynamic and team-oriented work environment. Our company has a reputation for critical and creative thinking and for providing high quality services. In addition, we put great emphasize on teaching our Clients about the methods, techniques and models we use, requiring not only exceptional solid analytics, but also excellent communication and presentation skills. <br> <br> For more information about this position, please visit our <a href="http://www.voseconsulting.com/job.htm" class="bodylinksConsultancy">website</a> (http://www.voseconsulting.com/job.htm). <div align="left"> <p align="right"><a href="#top" class="bodylinksConsultancy">top</a></p> </div> </div></td> </tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#F5F7F8" class="body-txt"><h5><a name="rp"></a><strong><img src="http://www.voseconsulting.com/graphics/newsletter/bookmark.gif" width="17" height="18" align="absmiddle"> Recent Projects</strong></h5> <p>Below you will find an example project we completed recently. As always, we have been busy with quite a few other interesting projects in areas as diverse as:</p> <br>1. Pipeline laying project risk analysis; <br>2. Antimicrobial resistance in probiotics; <br>3. Bank interest rate risk; <br>4. Expert witness in very large Fortune 500 company legal dispute. <p align="right"><a href="#top" class="bodylinksConsultancy">top</a></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#F5F7F8" class="body-txt"><h5 align="left"><strong> <strong>Contact Information</strong></strong></h5> <p> For additional information or make suggestions, please feel free to contact us:</p> <p><strong>Website:</strong> <a href="http://www.voseconsulting.com/" class="bodylinksConsultancy"><strong><br> www.voseconsulting.com</strong></a><br> <strong>Email:</strong> <br> <img src="http://www.voseconsulting.com/graphics/email_info.gif" width="137" height="11" align="absbottom"><br> <strong>Phones:</strong><br> +1 866 259 7434 <em>(Toll Free, US only)</em><br> +1 303 440 8524 <em>(From outside US)</em><br> <strong>Fax:</strong><br> +1 303 440 0320</p> <h5 align="right"><a href="#top" class="bodylinksConsultancy">top</a></h5> </td> </tr> </table> </td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#FFFFFF"> <td><p align="center"><span class="bottom-txt">&copy; Copyright 1997-2007 Vose Consulting, All Rights Reserved. </span><a href="http://www.voseconsulting.com/legal.htm" class="bottomlinks"> <br> Legal Notice</a><span class="bottom-txt"> | </span><a href="http://www.voseconsulting.com/return.htm" class="bottomlinks">Return/Refund policy</a><span class="bottom-txt"> | <a href="http://www.voseconsulting.com/privacy.htm"></a></span><a href="http://www.voseconsulting.com/privacy.htm" class="bottomlinks">Privacy statement</a><span class="bottom-txt"> | </span><a href="http://www.voseconsulting.com/delivery.htm" class="bottomlinks">Delivery terms</a></p></td> </tr> </table> </body> </html>