Experience
David Vose has been a specialist consultant in risk analysis since 1989. David started directly applying risk analysis as a marketing and new projects analyst to an oil and gas exploration company in New Zealand. Since then, he has applied risk analysis modelling principles to a wide range of problems and industries including oil, gas and LPG marketing and production, diamond mining, electricity generation and supply, shipping logistics and acquisitions, forecasting, project management, project economics, foreign exchange management, banking, engineering economics, forestry, reliability modelling, epidemiology and food safety, contract risk, banking operational risk, animal imports and insurance. He has also been running training seminars in risk analysis modelling since 1990 that exploit the techniques he has developed and applied in real life problems.
David is based in Europe overseeing the Vose Consulting Group with offices in Europe, Russia and the US. His rôle within the group is to supervise the technical aspects of their work as well as providing specialised consulting. David has consulted and/or lectured to companies and governments in over twenty-five countries around the world. He gives occasional tertiary lectures on risk analysis modelling and runs training seminars for a wide range of organisations. He has written the textbook Risk Analysis, published by John Wiley and Sons, now in its second edition and ninth print run that is based around the training seminars he has developed. He is also the principal author of ModelAssist, the popular electronic risk analysis reference tool used in companies and governments worldwide and in a range of graduate university courses.
David has been a member of various committees charged with the development of international guidelines in risk analysis fields: he was technical editor for the UK 's APM risk analysis guidelines, and was leader for the OIE antimicrobial resistance guidelines on risk analysis. He provides guidance to FAO/WHO's expert committees in their efforts to establish international guidelines, standards and example models for food safety. In this capacity, David is currently editor and contributing author for the WHO/FAO Risk Characterisation guidelines. The OIE handbook on quantitative animal import risk assessment (vol II) is also based around his book and lectures. David is an active member of the Society for Risk Analysis, the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS), the Applied Probability Society and the Decision Analysis Society.
He maintains a key interest in risk analysis research, with particular interest in use of risk modelling to support decision-making. David has been a faculty member of the Harvard University Continuing Education Course on Probabilistic Risk Assessment, Management, and Communication and has acted as supervisor for a number of PhD theses on risk. He also provides an advisory rôle to Palisade Corporation (@RISK) and Decisioneering, Inc (Crystal Ball) in the development of their risk analysis software.
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