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- Which emerging diseases could pose a risk to your country?
- What is the risk of introduction of a disease associated with import of an animal product?
- Do you want to set-up a surveillance system to monitor the outbreak of animal diseases?
Quantitative Risk Analysis and simulation modeling can be used to assess the risk of introduction and spread of emerging diseases. Import risk analysis (IRA) provides countries with an objective, transparent and defensible method of assessing the disease risks associated with the importation of animals and animal products.
Risk-based surveillance protocols allow the early detection of emerging and re-emerging animal diseases such as avian influenza or bovine tuberculosis, or to quantitatively assess freedom from diseases such as Foot-and-Mouth disease. Risk-based epidemiological analyses can also provide veterinary authorities with decision support to control disease outbreaks. In addition to our involvement in numerous projects related to animal health, epidemiology, and risk analysis, we offer several courses related to this topic.
Compartmentalization is a disease management tool that seeks to define animal populations with a certain health status based on separation of these populations and the application of bio-security measures. Unlike traditional disease zoning, compartmentalization focuses on the maintenance of the health status by focusing efforts on management and bio-security in operations within the compartment. Vose Consulting can not only design novel quantitative methods to evaluate compartmentalization strategies, but also help with the practical implementation of compartments for different animal diseases.
Another increasingly important component of risk analysis in epidemiology is the simulation of the spread of diseases in populations. Disease simulation models facilitate the evaluation of the impact of different endemic and exotic diseases, and the assessment of the best strategies to prevent, control or eradicate them. Also, disease models are being increasingly used for consequence assessment in import risk assessments. Vose Consulting has vast experience in simulating the spread of animal diseases of terrestrial and aquatic species. An example of some of the diseases we have modeled include Johne's disease, Foot-and-Mouth disease, Classical Swine Fever, and Bovine Viral Diarrhea, to name a few. Vose Consulting has played a leading role in the development of this field including the main WTO international guidelines on Animal Health Risk Analysis which are based on David Vose's book "Risk Analysis - A Quantitative Guide". Click here to see more details on our capabilities.
DVM, Dipl ECVPH
+32 932 406 23
Vose Consulting Belgium Office
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DVM, MPVM
Toll Free (US) +1 866 259 7434
Tel +1 303 440 8524
Vose Consulting US Office
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- Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australia
- Australian Pesticides and Veterinary Medicines Authority, Australia
- Australian Veterinary Society
- Biotechnological Institute, Holbergsvej, Norway
- Canadian Animal Health Coalition, Canada
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Problem:
Given concerns about human risk from antibiotic-resistant bacteria from using antibiotics in animals, the US Food & Drug Administration (FDA) was faced with the question of whether to continue to allow use of fluoroquinolones in poultry.
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Problem:
Canada and Australia were in a long-running dispute over Australia 's ban of Canadian ocean-caught salmon due to a perceived risk of the introduction of salmonid disease from Canada to Australia. Australia was using a qualitative risk assessment to support their argument for the ban.
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Scheduled courses
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"Vose Consulting provides seminars and workshops on risk assessment, commencing with basic principles, and extending into more complex risk assessment methods. At each training session, the instructor communicated clearly and concisely, providing excellent notes and worksheets. The focus of our interest in risk assessment has been primarily in the field of animal health, and later plant health. The instructor was able to demonstrate the immediate applicability of an impressive range of techniques in both of these areas. It is a credit to the instructor that he was able to work with people from very different mathematical backgrounds, and his patience with beginners was commendable."
Dr. Chris Hawkins
Regional Veterinary Epidemiologist
Agriculture Western Australia
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