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Dr. Francisco Zagmutt has an impressive command of the tools used in conducting a quantitative risk analysis which include frequentist and Bayesian probability theories, statistics, mathematics, and programming in Excel, R, WinBugs and ModelRisk, that go well beyond his formal education. He offered a wide array of references with a degree of technical difficulty that reflects his strong interest in the subject matter and his commitment to stay current. In addition to an impressive knowledge base, Francisco is an excellent teacher. The class contained individuals with diverse backgrounds from professional to academic degrees and he brought us all along with him. He was able to answer all questions and provide hands-on exercises that were relevant to conducting a QRA. I highly recommend the class.

Vicki Lancaster, Ph.D.
Mathematical Statistical FDA/CVM


FDA Center for Veterinary Medicine has used David Vose's consulting services repeatedly over the last several years for providing risk assessment and modeling courses to our scientists, antimicrobial resistance risk assessments, presenting the data and models to the animal pharmaceutical industry and the public, serving as an expert witness in a court case and reviewing other expert witness testimony, and helping the Center develop a scientifically defensible approach to regulating antimicrobials used in food animals considering resistance concerns.  Perhaps most valuable to FDA was David's contribution as leading a team of lawyers and scientists in support of the Center's efforts to remove approval for an antimicrobial used in food animals.  David's unique value in the very broad field of biostatistics and risk assessment is his ability to explain highly technical concepts so that nonscientists can not only understand the issues but engage in interpretative discussions.  FDA honored David with the Commissioner's Special Citation award, the highest award given to persons outside the FDA.

Linda Tollefson, DVM, MPH
Assistant Commissioner for Science
U.S. Food and Drug Administration


I have to tell you I have not seen this level of deep analysis from a third party so far. Congratulations!

Mr. Raul Melendez
Pfizer

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Vose Consulting worked with our group to create a statistical model which optimizes customer parts fill versus financial inventory goals at John Deere Construction and Forestry dealerships. We were able to use the output of the model to design an inventory stocking system which improves the customer experience at our dealerships. Additionally, the model was designed in a way to accommodate future "what if" scenarios as the business environment changes.

Jeff Tilden
John Deere Construction & Forestry

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I wanted to express my thanks and appreciation for the outstanding training you provided during the Quantitative Risk Analysis course held in Philadelphia. The course material was informative, challenging, and extremely well presented. It was an awesome learning experience for everyone. I have a great appreciation for Vose Consulting, because I honestly believe your organization is hands down the most knowledgeable risk modeling firm in the world. Thank you again.

Brian Watt
Chief Operating Officer / Chief Financial Officer
GECC, Inc

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Introduction to Quantitative Risk Analysis is not just a class, it is an experience. There is a great depth and breadth of knowledge that The instructor brings to the table, not just in risk analysis, but in business and industry as a whole. The class brought to light and explained fully issues with risk analysis that I previously only suspected or wondered about. I would not hesitate to recommend the class to anybody with a true interest in risk analysis.

Participant Intro to Quantitative Risk Analysis course, 2006

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I enjoyed the courses very much. They were especially helpful to me because I do not have a strong mathematical background. I would recommend the courses to anyone that intends to do risk analysis, especially beginners. In addition, the social events and activities at the courses at Oxford and St. Emilion were great fun! Perhaps most important has been The instructor's willingness to provide help and guidance after the courses.

Larry G. Paisley, DVM, MS, PhD
Epidemiology section, Risk analysis division
National Veterinary Institute, Norway

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Vose Consulting provides seminars and workshops on risk assessment, commencing with basic principles, and extending into more complex risk assessment methods. At each training session, the instructor communicated clearly and concisely, providing excellent notes and worksheets. The focus of our interest in risk assessment has been primarily in the field of animal health, and later plant health. The instructor was able to demonstrate the immediate applicability of an impressive range of techniques in both of these areas. It is a credit to the instructor that he was able to work with people from very different mathematical backgrounds, and his patience with beginners was commendable.

Dr. Chris Hawkins
Regional Veterinary Epidemiologist
Agriculture Western Australia

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The example problems were challenging/probing and particularly suited to the types of analysis we are expected to conduct in our work. Excellent practical instruction, built on strong statistical theory.

Dr. Eric Ebel, Dr. Wayne Schlosser
USDA - FSIS,
Fort Collins, CO

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I believe that Vose Consulting's courses are immensely useful useful for people with little or perhaps informal training in quantitative methodologies. The courses are careful structured and interactive, and provide participants with many worked example to use as templates for further studies. David is an enthusiastic lecturer who manages to bring to life a discipline which is both technically difficult and intuitively daunting.

Dr. Sam Beckett
Veterinary Officer
Australian Quarantine and Inspection Service (AQIS)
Canberra, ACT, Australia

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Your course was certainly one of the best courses I ever received. I learned a lot and never got bored.

Dr. Katsuaki Sugiura
OIE Scientific and Technical Department
Paris, France

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The 2 week course on risk modelling for animal health and food safety that I took in France from Vose Consulting was very informative. Not only did I learn the basics of risk assessment, but also how to put such models in perspective of the total risk analysis process. I also enjoyed spending 2 weeks with other professionals who are working on similar projects and have similar needs and problems to solve. The new network created will prove useful in my professional career.

Dr. Joyce Van Donkersgoed
Veterinary consultant
Canada

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David is an excellent teacher, who understands the virtue of keeping things as simple as possible. On the other hand, he never hesitates to try out some new and almost always improved solution to a problem during class. This combination is very beneficial. Having attended four of his courses, I can say that I have returned from everyone of them having understood nearly all of what has been taught, and still feeling that I have been updated on the very latest techniques.

Tine Hald, DVM
Danish Zoonosis Centre
Danish Veterinary Laboratory

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Vose Consultants are outstanding professionals in the field of quantitative risk assessment. They provided training that our staff will find valuable as we develop quantitative risk assessment to guide food safety decisions in the U.S.

Janell R. Kause, Director
Risk Assessment Division
Office of Public Health Science
Food Safety and Inspections Service
United States Department of Agriculture

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Francisco: thanks again for your outstanding work and positive attitude, your remarkable commitment, and for having made yourself available at such short notice despite other client commitments. All much appreciated.
David: you did send me the best - thanks to you too. Once again, Vose over delivered.
Best
--Jean

Jean Bonnavion
Vice President
Palamon Capital Partners
London, U.K.

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It was a pleasure to work with the Vose team to build a revenue model for our pharmaceutical product candidates. They listened, hit our deadlines and produced a high-quality model on budget. Highly recommended!

Karin M Hold, PhD
Director of Business Development
Anacor Pharmaceuticals Inc.

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I wanted to thank you again for the course. I think you did a great job in teaching us; I know how hard it is to teach a group, give everybody the feeling you are giving them your full attention and at the same time stay focused on the most important things and make sure the 'group' advances in the material. You succeeded very well in this challenge!

QRA course attendee:
Dr. Michael van Straten
HACHAKLAlT Veterinary Services
Israel

Instructor: Dr. Francisco Zagmutt

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Probabilistic risk analysis:
assessment, management and communication

Harvard School of Public Health, Center for Risk Analysis.

Quoted from the official Harvard evaluation
form summary for David Vose's lectures

Lecture titled:
Monte Carlo Simulation in Risk Assessment


Definitely the best speaker! Very enthusiastic!
Very interesting! I wish we could have had more time!


I came away with the feeling that I could set up easy Monte Carlo simulations.


This was the type of presentation I was expecting.


Very useful and informative. Good grasp of what session was to address.
Best presentation of the course.


Dr. [sic] Vose was a refreshing, lively breath of fresh air.
Great to see some live, interactive examples of Monte Carlo simulation.


One of my favourite sessions. Very well taught.


Nice presentation, particularly the interaction between the actual working modeling and theory use.


Very interesting and animated speaker.
Practical examples were much appreciated.


Very good presentation devoted to acquiring skills.

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Lecture titled:
From Beginning to End: Life in the Probabilistic Risk Analysis Trenches


Good job. Excellent discussions.


A gifted teacher.


Now I see Bayesian.


I appreciated the further discussion of BMC. [Bayesian Monte Carlo]


The opportunity for discussion towards the end was good.


This was an interesting discussion. It went far afield from the session "topic" but was useful for all involved. You should consider this type of discussion section for all courses.

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David Vose has run courses for many years teaching the use of Palisade's DecisionTools products (@RISK, PrecisionTree, etc).
Here are a few testimonials:


I very much appreciated the special and humoristic way he made us understand complex matters.

--Brussels seminar attendee,
Instructor: David Vose

 


Excellent class!



We really enjoyed the seminar… (David Vose is) a superb instructor.



David Vose did an excellent job conveying usually boring
statistical information in a refreshing and interesting manner.



The course was done in an excellent, professional and even 'fun' manner.
Palisade's entire 3-day program was first-rate!


--Ithaca seminar attendees,
Instructor: David Vose

 


Very good course. Well and intelligently presented.



Very good course which I will recommend to colleagues.


--London seminar attendees
Instructor: David Vose

 


The course content and presentation was spot-on.



I very much appreciated the special and humoristic way he made us understand complex matters.


--London seminar attendee, November 2000
Instructor: David Vose

 


Excellent class!


--Brussels seminar attendee, September 2000
Instructor: David Vose

 


Thanks for a great session at Arup ... All the people I spoke to were very impressed! ... The handout CD-Rom is great!

--Risk analysis training course for Arup, February 2005

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Speaker evaluation for 2005 Crystal Ball Users Conference

Lecture titled:
How to select the right distribution to use in Crystal Ball

Speaker:
David Vose


Very entertaining speaker and very effective in transferring knowledge to the class


Superb both in number and quality of nuggets. A reminder of what I didn't know


Superb to pic and presentation


Great!


Most engaging speaker and trainer - truly a gifted teacher


Content hits the bullseye. It opens the door to great questions


Very informative


Brilliant


Excellent presentation. Excellent speaking style


Excellent presentation and presenter. Wish we had more time to delve in to the subject more. Could have benefited from a larger block of time

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